Worldwide PC Shipments down, Death of the PC?

According to an article by Digitimes, PC shipments have taken another nose drive in the second quarter this year compared to last year to the tune of 10.9%. This keeps people begging the question of if this is the death of the PC? In the second quarter this year their was about 76 million PCs shipped from all the companies in the business. According the article this is the largest decline in the PC market in history. The numbers that this article is working off of come from Gartner‘s preliminary report.

“We are seeing the PC market reduction directly tied to the shrinking installed base of PCs, as inexpensive tablets displace the low-end machines used primarily for consumption in mature and developed markets,” said Mikako Kitagawa, principal analyst at Gartner. “In emerging markets, inexpensive tablets have become the first computing device for many people, who at best are deferring the purchase of a PC. This is also accounting for the collapse of the mini notebook market.”

Reading this statement it does makes sense. Tablets and smart phones are easy to handle and doesn’t take alot of technical expertise to operate. While I personally could never get away from my desktop for gaming alone, the huge increase in developers starting to make games not just for desktop but for mobile platforms such as Android and iOS. One instance of this is three lead developers from EA that worked on SimCity has quit recently to form their own indie studio, Jellygrade. Now SimCity wasn’t a flop but had alot of issues at release. Jellygrade states on its front page that they are, “Hi there! We’re a few recovering ex-AAA game developers, now looking to make the kinds of games we love on mobile.” Now the relevance of this is they are jumping from desktop PC to mobile and increase what can be perceived as part of the death of the PC.

Now Hewlett-Packard (HP) and Lenovo are in a race to ship the most PCs. Currently Lenovo holds a slight lead over HP but it isn’t much to consider them the clear front runner. Lenovo holds a 16.7% market share while HP has 16.3% and then in a distant third is Dell with 11.8% market share. Below are the numbers from Gartner.

Death of the PC? Here are Gartner’s numbers

Gartner: Worldwide PC shipment estimates by vendor, 2Q13 (unit)
Company 2Q13 shipments 2Q13 market share 2Q12 shipments 2Q12 market share Y/Y
Lenovo 12,677,265 16.7% 12,755,068 14.9% (0.6%)
HP 12,402,887 16.3% 13,028,822 15.3% (4.8%)
Dell 8,984,634 11.8% 9,349,171 11% (3.9%)
Acer Group 6,305,000 8.3% 9,743,663 11.4% (35.3%)
Asustek Computer 4,590,071 6% 5,772,043 6.8% (20.5%)
Others 31,041,130 40.8% 34,675,824 40.6% (10.5%)
Total 76,000,986 100% 85,324,591 100% (10.9%)

*Note: Data includes desktops and mobile PCs, including mini-notebooks (netbooks) but not media tablets such as the iPad.
Source: Gartner, compiled by Digitimes, July 2013

Gartner: US PC shipment estimates by vendor, 2Q13 (unit)
Company 2Q13 shipments 2Q13 market share 2Q12 shipments 2Q12 market share Y/Y
HP 3,957,761 26.4% 3,976,041 26.2% (0.5%)
Dell 3,681,725 24.6% 3,458,736 22.8% 6.4%
Apple 1,740,500 11.6% 1,818,959 12% (4.3%)
Lenovo 1,515,562 10.1% 1,266,109 8.3% 19.7%
Toshiba 848,984 5.7% 1,006,900 6.6% (15.7%)
Others 3,230,717 21.6% 3,659,220 24.1% (11.7%)
Total 14,975,249 100% 15,185,965 100% (1.4%)

*Note: Data includes desktops and mobile PCs, including mini-notebooks (netbooks) but not media tablets such as the iPad.
Source: Gartner, compiled by Digitimes, July 2013

Gartner: EMEA PC shipment estimates by vendor, 2Q13 (unit)
Company 2Q13 shipments 2Q13 market share 2Q12 shipments 2Q12 market share Y/Y
HP 3,779,160 17.8% 4,683,376 18.3% (19.3%)
Lenovo 2,641,622 12.4% 2,180,362 8.5% 21.2%
Acer Group 2,456,255 11.5% 3,995,518 15.6% (38.5%)
Dell 1,979,895 9.3% 2,173,552 8.5% (8.9%)
Asustek Computer 1,743,345 8.2% 2,670,268 10.4% (34.7%)
Others 8,675,143 40.8% 9,864,285 38.6% (12.1%)
Total 21,275,420 100% 25,567,361 100% (16.8%)

*Note: Data includes desktops and mobile PCs, including mini-notebooks (netbooks) but not media tablets such as the iPad.
Source: Gartner, compiled by Digitimes, July 2013

So basically all of this is just declining sales. I don’t think you can replace the PC anytime in the near future with tablets and smart phones with all the data entry jobs, hardcore gaming, or any job that requires extensive use of the PC is that you can’t use an iPad and be able to do the same amount of work. At one of my previous jobs they started switching us from Toshiba tough books to the iPad 1 and within 3 months they basically scraped the idea and had already purchases close to 30,000.

Death of the PC; PC Shipments Per Gartner

So what are your thoughts on the death of the PC?
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